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COVID-19 Where is it leading?

Comms will take a hit too!

:/
comms are for your bosses

get back to work eating that delicious grass
:D ...sheesh...

But but...I am..I am!...I'm plucking my papayas now!!!
In 2017 75,000 people died from flu and pneumonia every year in the Philippines.
https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/phi … -pneumonia

That is about 6,00 every month.

that is about 18,000 in the last three months (when the COVID-19 began)

how many have died from COVID-19 in that time?

144
Not the same thing!
No one said it was.

But no one knows what COVID19 is yet.

Anyone who says they know how lethal it is or is not is lying.

No one knows how many people out there have had it and never had any symptoms. And it may have been circulating for a lot longer than just since December or November.

Look how many times the authorities have changed their stories. Just a couple of months ago the WHO and China were telling us that it was not transmitted human to human.
yup!

Philippine Destiny wrote:

Should we be wearing an N95 tinfoil hat in this thread?


I know that earlier it was ruled out very strongly by member's here (quoting the WHO) that we wear N95 mask's, so i guess members are wearing Tinfoil hats.

'L.Grass' varies in colour from pale yellow to very light green. True to name, L.grass has a pleasantly assertive lemon taste and aroma...something I will consider too...,Sire!

:D
https://www.foxnews.com/media/holland-a … oronavirus

They were taken off the ships by men in hazmat suits.

Then they were flown to Atlanta where they just mingled with the general public.

IN ATLANTA

Home of the CDC

what a joke!
Though it could take much time, but humans are resilient ... one day everything will be back to normal.
curve is flattening across several nations

poopat wrote:

Though it could take much time, but humans are resilient ... one day everything will be back to normal.


One day? How about thousands & thousands one days, but who among the survivors who will live to a ripe old age to see this. 

Future generations will learn about 2020 in classrooms. Just as I learned about bubonic  plague in grade school.

A 100 years ago "consumption" was listed on many death certificates, meaning they consumed too much? Too much of what?

Yup...Its like looking thru your rearview mirror and recency bias. Earnings have zero visibility. there will be plenty of time to pick up bargains in the rubble. But go ahead, we're behind you!...;)

Just saying!

:D

W9XR wrote:

A 100 years ago "consumption" was listed on many death certificates, meaning they consumed too much? Too much of what?


TB consumed their lungs.

Until as a absolute minimum, 50% are immune, known as herd immunity, it will continue to spread.  Analogy is grassland fire with a mild breeze, until the burnt patches exceed 50% the fire has plenty of fuel that is concentrated enough to continue and spread.  You could try to use a forest and trees also as an analogy.

Due to the limited efficacy of most viral vaccinations the number of vaccinated individuals require for herd immunity is a bit higher.

The only real accomplishment prevention measures accomplish is buying time.  Time to replace the medical supplies and drugs that are used,  time so medical staff is hopefully able to treat most cases rather letting them pile up outside.  It takes at least 21 days to produce a sterilized inject-able med.  The anti-nukes ensured that sterilization by radiation facilities are very limited.

Philippine Destiny wrote:

In 2017 75,000 people died from flu and pneumonia every year in the Philippines.
https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/phi … -pneumonia

That is about 6,00 every month.

that is about 18,000 in the last three months (when the COVID-19 began)

how many have died from COVID-19 in that time?

144


It is a great question.  Can you tell us how many people in the Philippines contracted Flu ?  And Pneumonia?

pej1111 wrote:
Philippine Destiny wrote:

In 2017 75,000 people died from flu and pneumonia every year in the Philippines.
https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/phi … -pneumonia

That is about 6,00 every month.

that is about 18,000 in the last three months (when the COVID-19 began)

how many have died from COVID-19 in that time?

144


It is a great question.  Can you tell us how many people in the Philippines contracted Flu ?  And Pneumonia?


Google it and you will find that about 70,000 people die from flu and pneumonia in the Philippines every year.

2016 57,000 deaths
http://outbreaknewstoday.com/pneumonia- … ths-91248/

This site says the death rate per 100,000 is 115 which would yield about 115,000 per year (seems too high)
https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/phi … -pneumonia

The Philippine News authority places the yearly average for pneumonia deaths at around 57,000
https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1052723

Keep in mind that these high numbers are in spite of the fact that there is both a. herd immunity and b. vaccines which to a degree limit the mortality.

In the US hundreds of thousands of people die each year as a result of medical malpractice
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28186008

Is that not a huge news story? If journalism was not total trash is that not the story of the century or at least one of them?

Where's the outrage? Has anyone seen even a single news report? I wonder why not? The healthcare industrial complex is protected by the media industrial complex, which are often all part of the same enormous global corporate mega conglomerates.

These are the same forces that do not want people to receive cheap, effective and out of patent medications.

PD - What you're suggesting is a lot of deaths are simply covered up because big business needs it so.

This is my argument against your point

....

Fred wrote:

PD - What you're suggesting is a lot of deaths are simply covered up because big business needs it so.

This is my argument against your point

....


How am I suggesting what you just said? Explain yourself in detail.

I am not suggesting anything.

If you have a problem, then you problem is with the data and the facts.

Philippine Destiny wrote:
pej1111 wrote:
Philippine Destiny wrote:

In 2017 75,000 people died from flu and pneumonia every year in the Philippines.
https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/phi … -pneumonia

That is about 6,00 every month.

that is about 18,000 in the last three months (when the COVID-19 began)

how many have died from COVID-19 in that time?

144


It is a great question.  Can you tell us how many people in the Philippines contracted Flu ?  And Pneumonia?


Google it and you will find that about 70,000 people die from flu and pneumonia in the Philippines every year.

2016 57,000 deaths
http://outbreaknewstoday.com/pneumonia- … ths-91248/

This site says the death rate per 100,000 is 115 which would yield about 115,000 per year (seems too high)
https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/phi … -pneumonia

The Philippine News authority places the yearly average for pneumonia deaths at around 57,000
https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1052723

Keep in mind that these high numbers are in spite of the fact that there is both a. herd immunity and b. vaccines which to a degree limit the mortality.

In the US hundreds of thousands of people die each year as a result of medical malpractice
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28186008

Is that not a huge news story? If journalism was not total trash is that not the story of the century or at least one of them?

Where's the outrage? Has anyone seen even a single news report? I wonder why not? The healthcare industrial complex is protected by the media industrial complex, which are often all part of the same enormous global corporate mega conglomerates.

These are the same forces that do not want people to receive cheap, effective and out of patent medications.


I believe  your figures mate.

My my question was:

*  if you knew how many people in the Philippines, got the Flu? and pneumonia every year.  NOT how many died, i already read that in your previous statement.

pej1111 wrote:
Philippine Destiny wrote:
pej1111 wrote:

It is a great question.  Can you tell us how many people in the Philippines contracted Flu ?  And Pneumonia?


Google it and you will find that about 70,000 people die from flu and pneumonia in the Philippines every year.

2016 57,000 deaths
http://outbreaknewstoday.com/pneumonia- … ths-91248/

This site says the death rate per 100,000 is 115 which would yield about 115,000 per year (seems too high)
https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/phi … -pneumonia

The Philippine News authority places the yearly average for pneumonia deaths at around 57,000
https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1052723

Keep in mind that these high numbers are in spite of the fact that there is both a. herd immunity and b. vaccines which to a degree limit the mortality.

In the US hundreds of thousands of people die each year as a result of medical malpractice
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28186008

Is that not a huge news story? If journalism was not total trash is that not the story of the century or at least one of them?

Where's the outrage? Has anyone seen even a single news report? I wonder why not? The healthcare industrial complex is protected by the media industrial complex, which are often all part of the same enormous global corporate mega conglomerates.

These are the same forces that do not want people to receive cheap, effective and out of patent medications.


I believe  your figures mate.

My my question was:

*  if you knew how many people in the Philippines, got the Flu? and pneumonia every year.  NOT how many died, i already read that in your previous statement.


I know what you are getting at even though you do not state it.

You are thinking about the CFR.

But think about this:

No one knows what the CFR for COVID19 is because it could be much more widespread than is known.

I have posted all of this before and I am not going to repost the sources, but current estimates are that half of more of all cases are asymptomatic.

This brings the CFR way down.

And two other issues that I have also stated are the fact that for both Pneumonia and flu there is longstanding herd immunity and there are also effective vaccines that are widely available and widely used. These bring the CFR for flu and pneumonia down and they can also bring it down for COVID19.

And also there is the fact that dying with COVID19 is not dying from COVID19.

All of these points can be searched and you can read extensively on them.

The truth is in the middle.

There are those with agendas to both over inflate and underestimate the CFR.

It is so much easier to get to the facts when people do not have a HIDDEN AGENDA.

bonus question: how many people survive being placed on a ventilator?

Philippine Destiny wrote:
Fred wrote:

PD - What you're suggesting is a lot of deaths are simply covered up because big business needs it so.

This is my argument against your point

....


How am I suggesting what you just said? Explain yourself in detail.

I am not suggesting anything.

If you have a problem, then you problem is with the data and the facts.


Here

Where's the outrage? Has anyone seen even a single news report? I wonder why not? The healthcare industrial complex is protected by the media industrial complex, which are often all part of the same enormous global corporate mega conglomerates.


No problem with that as it's true

I admit that I am seeing this thing through a bias of hopefulness.

I want this to end soon. And I am no optimist, usually.
There are many arguments, many political, but the truth is easy enough  to see.
In the case of this mess, way too many politicians are using it to score points for whatever reason, sometimes against political opponents, sometimes to attack countries.
Basically, those that have engaged in that are a waste of oxygen.

Covid 19 is very probably a lot worse that all governments say, but much of that is down to lack of testing and, before the panic, lack of awareness.

Other diseases are far worse than covid 19, and those diseases have killed by the millions

Medical malpractice, gun law idiocy, wars (legal and illegal), and a lot of other things have killed in very large numbers, most of the post 1945 wars being about pure cash, and the few that weren't down to moronic politicians.
Great time to hold elections!

Just saying

:|
The reason i asked if you, if you knew how many people died from the flu and pneumonia was not to create and argument, it was so all could compare and put a normal response based on variable ranges of the situation of your statement. 


"In 2017 75,000 people died from flu and pneumonia every year in the Philippines.
https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/phi … -pneumonia

That is about 6,00 every month.

that is about 18,000 in the last three months (when the COVID-19 began)

how many have died from COVID-19 in that time?

144

pej1111 wrote:

The reason i asked if you, if you knew how many people died from the flu and pneumonia was not to create and argument, it was so all could compare and put a normal response based on variable ranges of the situation of your statement. 


"In 2017 75,000 people died from flu and pneumonia every year in the Philippines.
https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/phi … -pneumonia

That is about 6,00 every month.

that is about 18,000 in the last three months (when the COVID-19 began)

how many have died from COVID-19 in that time?

144


No argument. But I think it is intriguing to follow the CFR issue. I see that being brought up in a lot of places. I really do not know which way it will go. I want it to go to the level of flu and it could for a lot of reasons, but I fear that it may not.

I do not know people personally who have died from it, but I hear about them a lot. They tend to be older and in poor health, like most of the COVID19 deaths. The first man who died in the Philippines was from Wuhan and he had bacterial pneumonia and other issues on top of COVID.

Pneumonia is very common here for some reason. I had dengue twice last year and my daughter had it once. In all three instances there was also pneumonia. We also suspect that my wife had it in the middle of last year. It seems like the pneumonia is always there just waiting to take advantage.

Live speech today by president duterte to asean member nations : 

https://youtu.be/L7eMm4kOMww

Sir you Stay Strong!
& I will do my part & stay at home!

:|
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qfZVu0alU0I
What is the smart thing to do if you are concerned that people are not adhering to social distancing guidelines?

Start a huge brawl of course

https://www.foxnews.com/food-drink/woma … distancing

I have a theory that the virus is making people like this one behave stupidly in order to advance its own spread. Kind of like that parasite that infests slugs and makes them engage in behavior to get themselves eaten by birds so the parasite can complete its life cycle.
Then a "few good men/woman" step up!!!

https://www.usnews.com/news/national-ne … oronavirus:/

manwonder wrote:

Then a "few good men/woman" step up!!!

https://www.usnews.com/news/national-ne … oronavirus:/


They have a self serving agenda. What ever they are offering they can keep and place it with great pressure in a dark warm location.

Coronavirus Math 101

Coronavirus deaths in New York to date: 10,834
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

Greater than 80% of Coronavirus patients in New York who are placed on ventilators die:
https://www.businessinsider.com/coronav … ate-2020-4

Medicare pays a hospital $13,000 for each Cornavirus victim, but when the hospital places you on a ventilator they get $39,000
https://www.foxnews.com/media/physician … guidelines

I cannot say that all of the 10,834 deaths were placed on ventilators, but a great many certainly were.

So just for estimating purposes 10,834 x $39,000 = $422,526,000

"80% of NYC's coronavirus patients who are put on ventilators ultimately die, and some doctors are trying to stop using them"

so many anomalies so little time
They cannot cure the common cold in a century, but people believe that the cure for coronavirus can be found in 6 months. The stupidity of humanity is astounding.

but the cold is so much more the enigma is it?

well is it?

Philippine Destiny wrote:

They cannot cure the common cold in a century, but people believe that the cure for coronavirus can be found in 6 months. The stupidity of humanity is astounding.

but the cold is so much more the enigma is it?

well is it?


Governments appear desperate to get a cure asap...Hope is the only thing thats left!

Just Saying!

:D

manwonder wrote:
Philippine Destiny wrote:

They cannot cure the common cold in a century, but people believe that the cure for coronavirus can be found in 6 months. The stupidity of humanity is astounding.

but the cold is so much more the enigma is it?

well is it?


Governments appear desperate to get a cure asap...Hope is the only thing thats left!

Just Saying!

:D


even as more evidence is coming out that this is only 2-3 x more deadly than flu and ventilators are killing people

but those are just unconfirmed rumors like the rumors that it started in china (rumors started by racists no doubt)

If they find a cure to COVID, that will change the face of the world.  As we know at present they cannot cure a virus, while it is in the body.

If they can cure this they will be able to cure AIDS and any other virus's.  That will change the face of the world, no more flu's 

As each year the flu we get is just a variant from the previous flu's while the others live on in our bodies controlled by anti bodies which the amazing human body has developed. 

Yep if they couldn't find a cure for HIV i don't think that they will for COVID.  If we are talking symptomatic treatments that is something different, but it is not a cure.

Philippine Destiny wrote:
manwonder wrote:
Philippine Destiny wrote:

They cannot cure the common cold in a century, but people believe that the cure for coronavirus can be found in 6 months. The stupidity of humanity is astounding.

but the cold is so much more the enigma is it?

well is it?


Governments appear desperate to get a cure asap...Hope is the only thing thats left!

Just Saying!

:D


even as more evidence is coming out that this is only 2-3 x more deadly than flu and ventilators are killing people

but those are just unconfirmed rumors like the rumors that it started in china (rumors started by racists no doubt)


Xi had warned Communist Party cadres of black swans and gray rhinos a year ago, as China headed into a year ending with a "9" & prediction of a cursed year ahead! (So 2020 was about right!)
I've felt the black swan effect!
However NO mention of bats nor have I seen/felt the gray rhino either!

:/

Here's the latest from Cebu City where it is spreading within some communities. One sitio fairly close to Ayala has 53 cases (see link below). What I found quite surprising was that of those 53, most (51) were asymptomatic. Yikes. Maybe Filipinos already have some herd immunity or something. I am praying that it does not get out of hand and that those who get it do not get hit hard, as it would appear might  be the case..

https://www.sunstar.com.ph/article/1852 … ntaminated
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